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What’s All the Buzz About Bayes?
For a practical example, imagine that one day while strolling around your house, you notice that your fine china display has been smashed into pieces. You suspect that a burglar broke into your home and destroyed your precious dishware. You figure doing a Bayesian hypothesis test could help you get to the bottom of what…
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Bayes’ Rule and Bomb Threats
Earlier today, I read an article published on Washington’s Blog titled “Fear of Terror Makes People Stupid.” The central claim of the post was that the government purposefully induces fear of a terrorist attack in order to get Americans to relinquish more of their civil liberties (see: Patriot Act), but this fear is silly (so…